Buy Crypto- Markets
Futures- Spot
- Copy Trade
- Earn
- More
QCP: BTC rebounds to $74,000 along with risk assets, but the market remains skeptical about the US-Iran agreement
According to QCP Group analysis, BTC followed the overnight rebound of risk assets, rising to the mid-range of $74,000, triggered by the news of a preliminary framework agreement between the U.S. and Iran. However, long-term yields remained almost unchanged, gold maintained high levels, and the bond market did not follow suit, indicating that this rebound is merely a relief from headline risks rather than a substantive geopolitical resolution.
The core contradiction lies in the uranium enrichment issue—Iran is currently enriching at 60%, while the U.S. demands a reduction to below 20%. Iran has yet to signal any compromise, and this issue has been unresolved since 2015. In terms of market structure, BTC spot is slowly rising against a backdrop of negative funding rates and low open interest, showing that shorts are still resisting and pushing for a short squeeze, but the options market has failed to confirm a breakout—short-term ATM volatility remains around 40, and one-month volatility is still lower than three-month volatility, with demand for downside protection still stronger than the willingness to chase upside.
On the macro level, the Federal Reserve's net rate cut space for this year is close to zero, and liquidity conditions remain tight. QCP believes that this round of market activity is essentially a geopolitical-driven relief rebound rather than a fundamental shift in the macro landscape, and the market needs to be wary of the risk of a pullback after the rebound.
You may also like
Top 12 Cryptocurrencies to Invest in April 2026
Key Takeaways: Bitcoin remains the dominant player with a $1.42 trillion market cap. Hyperliquid’s HYPE token gains traction,…
18 Best Crypto & Bitcoin Casinos in March 2026
Key Takeaways: Cryptocurrencies offer faster, cheaper, and more private payment options in online casinos. Top crypto casinos include…
Full Post-Mortem of the KelpDAO Incident: Why Did Aave, Which Was Not Compromised, End Up in Crisis Situation?
Key Takeaways: The KelpDAO incident exposed vulnerabilities in collateral pricing and cross-chain bridge operations, affecting Aave’s liquidity. rsETH…
Is MicroStrategy’s STRC Bitcoin’s Savior or Destroyer?
Key Takeaways: MicroStrategy’s STRC offers an annualized yield of 11.5%, driving significant Bitcoin buying pressure. Michael Saylor’s financial…
Ceasefire Expiration and Market Response: Bitcoin Defies Market Trends
Key Takeaways: The current ceasefire agreement is anticipated to expire on Wednesday in Washington, with low likelihood of…
Oil Price Dilemma: More Than a Price Hike
Key Takeaways: Global oil market has surpassed its breaking point, not solving with price hikes but facing significant…
On the Day Aave Launched rsETH, Spark Strategically Exited
Key Takeaways: Aave enabled rsETH lending at a 93% LTV, while Spark withdrew due to low utilization by…
Nasdaq Breaks Record and Crypto Transactions Surge
Key Takeaways: Nasdaq’s rise to a new intraday high indicates strong market momentum. A significant transfer of 35,000…
Powell: Fed Requires a Brand New Inflation Blueprint
Key Takeaways: Powell aims for transformative policy overhauls within the Fed if appointed. Past inflation response mistakes during…
Without Cook’s Apple, Can it Still Grow in the AI Era?
Key Takeaways: John Ternus acts more like a systematic integrator within Apple rather than a solo visionary. Apple’s…
Iran Stock Market and Crypto Developments in Focus
Key Takeaways: The Iranian stock market is set to reopen in 10 to 12 days, excluding companies impacted…
ZachXBT vs. RAVE: Seeking the Truth Behind Crypto Market Volatility
Key Takeaways: In April 2026, RAVE surged by 4500%, later collapsing 90% after investigations by ZachXBT, Binance, and…
Trump Predicts Iran Bombing While Ethereum Moves Spark Interest
Key Takeaways: U.S. President Trump anticipates military action against Iran imminently, with the U.S. armed forces on standby…
Trump Declines Ceasefire Extension Amidst Crypto Market Turmoil
Key Takeaways: President Trump rejects further ceasefire extensions with Iran, emphasizing potential agreement as the path forward. 35,000…
Trump: Surprised by Stock Market Rebound, Thought It Would Fall 20%
Key Takeaways: U.S. President Trump was caught off guard by the stock market’s resilience during the Iran War,…
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs: U.S. Prepared for Swift Large-Scale Operations Against Iran
Key Takeaways: General Mark Milley, U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff Chair, indicates preparedness for immediate military action against…
U.S. Retail Sales Surpass Expectations as Crypto Activity Escalates
Key Takeaways: U.S. retail sales for March exceeded expectations with a 1.7% increase compared to the forecasted 1.4%.…
Binance to List CHIP Token and Introduce Seed Label
Key Takeaways: Binance will list CHIP on April 21, 2026, enabling trades in CHIP/USDT, CHIP/USDC, and CHIP/TRY pairs.…
Top 12 Cryptocurrencies to Invest in April 2026
Key Takeaways: Bitcoin remains the dominant player with a $1.42 trillion market cap. Hyperliquid’s HYPE token gains traction,…
18 Best Crypto & Bitcoin Casinos in March 2026
Key Takeaways: Cryptocurrencies offer faster, cheaper, and more private payment options in online casinos. Top crypto casinos include…
Full Post-Mortem of the KelpDAO Incident: Why Did Aave, Which Was Not Compromised, End Up in Crisis Situation?
Key Takeaways: The KelpDAO incident exposed vulnerabilities in collateral pricing and cross-chain bridge operations, affecting Aave’s liquidity. rsETH…
Is MicroStrategy’s STRC Bitcoin’s Savior or Destroyer?
Key Takeaways: MicroStrategy’s STRC offers an annualized yield of 11.5%, driving significant Bitcoin buying pressure. Michael Saylor’s financial…
Ceasefire Expiration and Market Response: Bitcoin Defies Market Trends
Key Takeaways: The current ceasefire agreement is anticipated to expire on Wednesday in Washington, with low likelihood of…
Oil Price Dilemma: More Than a Price Hike
Key Takeaways: Global oil market has surpassed its breaking point, not solving with price hikes but facing significant…
App